Author: Julie Campbell

eMarketer has reduced its forecasts for the use and value of these transactions this year and onward.

Even as the mobile payments industry continues to insist that it is on the cusp of a massive explosion in use, eMarketer has slashed its growth estimates in half for the remainder of the year.

In October 2012, the firm had predicted that the market would reach the $2.12 billion mark this year.

However, in their latest report, which was only just released, it has reduced that figure to $1 billion, instead. Between 2011 and 2012, mobile payments had experienced a tripling in its transactions. However, eMarketers’ initial growth estimates have now been scaled back considerably as it witnesses an ever larger number of issues in the way of the adoption of these transactions.

Mobile payments struggles continue in the form of adoption problems, delays and a “congested landscape”.

One of the primary factors contributing to the slow adoption of mobile payments is the companies within that industry. There are a tremendous number of players, each of which have their own competing technologies. This lack of a standard or a universal format is causing both consumers and businesses to feel confused about the industry as a whole and is leading them to hesitate before even considering adopting its use.

eMarketer now feels that it will take until 2016 for mobile payments transactions to reach the $20 billion level. This is a full year longer than their previous forecast. At that rate, however, it could still mean that by the end of 2017, it may be able to reach $58 billion, which is certainly nothing to laugh at.

It should be noted that while adoption isn’t exploding as many predictions had thought, mobile payments remains and extremely hot space at the moment. The chance to redefine the way that people pay for the products and services that they purchase is a tremendous opportunity for startups, big tech companies, and large financial institutions alike. It is the first time that this kind of opportunity has opened up since debit cards joined credit cards as being highly popular forms of plastic transaction at a point of sale.

Some predictions are saying that by the year 2018, AR technology applications will be worth investments of $2.5 billion.

According to a recent market forecast issued by ABI Research, by the year 2018, developers will be making investments of more than $2.5 billion in augmented reality apps, particularly in the marketing and retail spaces.

The researchers said that there would already be $670 million invested in that sector by the end of this year.

ABI explained that there are four primary drivers that will be defining to the augmented reality market over the next half decade. They include the combination of the technology with cloud computing, a direction toward a decrease in marker AR that is vision based, “sensor fusion” and the Internet of Everything, and smart eyewear product advances.

They identified the primary growth driver for augmented reality as being cloud computing.

According to the ABI report, cloud computing is “becoming more crucial, as well as immediate, than what has been concluded in earlier research.” ABI senior analyst, Aapo Markkanen, said that “The cloud is a natural fit for AR developers, considering how big benefits cloud-based content libraries present for image recognition technologies.”

At the moment, the biggest SDKs (software development kids) are from Metaio, based in Germany, and from Vuforia, of Qualcomm. Last year, both of these SDKs brought in cloud recognition. Moreover, the visual browser from HP called Aurasma has always had cloud at its heart. That last option – according to Markkanen – is building a considerable amount of traction as a third party app platform.

ABI explained that augmented reality will play an important role in the enabling of the Internet of Everything, particularly in the area of big data analytics; where AR and data visualizations are brought together through the use of wearable computing devices.

ABI practice director, Dan Shey, predicted that in augmented reality will “serve as a visualization medium that will make the sensor data situational, bridged to the real world surroundings,” in an environment where there will already be a tremendous number of structures and physical objects linked by sensors. He predicts that smart eyewear will be an important part of this.